The University of Rochester has turned research about predicting the spread of diseases with social media into a web application called Germ Tracker.
Thus, there is a disconnect between the best research on predicting heart disease in well-defined populations and the much weaker body of evidence addressing the effect of smoking bans.
In 1967, long before Microsoft, Oracle, Sun, and Apple were launched, Merrill Lynch published a research report correctly predicting that the computer industry would be one of the great growth stories of the next generation.
Such online research has evolved beyond predicting whether green sneakers will prevail over purple ones--or if customers prefer seat warmers to GPS devices in cars.
Infonetics Research released data in October predicting that the number of devices sold on shared data plans will more than double from 2011 to 2012, with tablets more than tripling.
Others, however, are betting the news will be more prosaic: PiperJaffray Senior Research Analyst Gene Munster is predicting Tuesday's keynote will focus on an overhaul of Apple's lineup of Mac desktop and portable computers.
Yolande Barnes, director of residential research at the Savills agency, is far more cautious, predicting 22% growth over the next five years.
On the other hand, research by Yale University Professor Robert Shiller, widely credited with predicting both the stock market crash of 2000 and the housing bust, has shown that momentum in home prices has staying power.
Specialized research in data science done by Kaggle has found predictive models developed through competitions are more accurate at predicting the likelihood of an event than software a company developed on its own.
WSJ: Prizes Abound but Unclear if They Are Best Way to Get Innovation
Martin Fridson of FridsonVision, a research firm, has calculated that a severe recession (which, he stresses, he is not predicting) could result in a peak rate of between 16% and 20% of annual defaults on corporate bonds, far higher than in 1991.
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