Given the nature of financial markets, we can predict with high confidence that in due course there will be another boom, another bust, and another search for culprits.

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In that world, the immediate past and near future were usually similar enough to allow us to predict the future with some confidence.

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The only thing I can predict with any degree of confidence is a whole lot of unintended consequences and dashed utopian hopes when Western elites decide to play God, raising nations up and pulling them down on no authority but their own.

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