You are right, the Milankovitch forcing argument is ONLY A NULL HYPOTHESIS. I hope I haven't argued anything more than that.

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Obviously, these findings are hypothesis-generating only and will have to be tested in a prospective, randomized trial.

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Unfortunately for their hypothesis, not only are we are at the end of a thirty-year period of deregulation and falling taxes, but the private sector already has plenty of idle workers and capacity.

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What is it, then, when a scientist formulates a hypothesis that growth patterns follow temperature, and tests the hypothesis against data only to find that growth patterns do not follow temperature at all for 30% of the data and only partially for the rest?

ECONOMIST: Against the prevailing wind