That bit of unpleasantness done, let me move on to my second point, which is an attempt to answer your question somewhat succinctly (and likely failing on that measure).

FORBES: Matt Yglesias on Teacher Compensation

Now, I went on so long I forgot the second part of your question.

WHITEHOUSE: The White House

Whereas your reported projection relied on a single poll question about people's second preferences, our method was to interview 8, 400 people across 18 different regions of Britain immediately after the May 1st general election.

ECONOMIST: Prescient