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But in the absence of fiscal tightening that significantly cuts the non-oil and gas fiscal deficit, a severe and sustained drop in the oil price would have a damaging impact on the Russian economy and public finances and would likely lead to a downgrade, Fitch warned.
FORBES: Is A Russia Credit Downgrade Coming?
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An EU embargo of Iranian crude would halt around 600, 000 barrels a day of imports, hitting Europe's refiners hard and further tightening markets and inventories, putting upward pressure on oil-futures prices, the International Energy Agency has said.
WSJ: Oil's Tug of War Is Poised to Continue
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Oil prices fell something like 15% in the third quarter as markets began to price in the prospects for substantially slower growth across the developed world and tightening in the fast-growing emerging markets. (Read Oil Down More Than 15% This Quarter As Sector Stocks Price In Recession).
FORBES: Halliburton's Resilience: Record Revenue, Op. Income Despite Tumbling Oil Prices