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Before I retired, I believe I successfully modeled more of these systems than anyone on this planet (well over 100 systems), so I am fully aware of all the shortcomings and strengths of numerical models of natural systems.
FORBES: The Self Corruption of Climate Science
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At the time, new numerical weather models helped forecasters predict extreme weather events two to four days out, said Louis Uccellini, director of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Centers for Environmental Prediction.
CNN: Forecasting "The Perfect Storm"
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Although tornado forecasting has remarkably improved over the last two decades with advanced forecasting techniques, weather satellites, numerical forecast models and Doppler weather radar, there is much about tornado forecasting that still remains a mystery.
CNN: STORY HIGHLIGHTS