This kind of overconfidence can lead to disasters, such as with the Chernobyl disaster (the Ukrainian Minister of Power stated the odds of a meltdown were 1 in 10, 000 just two months before the meltdown), the Challenger (NASA estimated the odds of catastrophic failure as 1 in 100, 000), or Pearl Harbor (the American military believed that Pearl Harbor was virtually immune to attack).
The U.S. withdrawal from Asia lead to a decline in military spending at sprawling bases like Hickam Air Force Base and Pearl Harbor Naval Base (some respite came in military housing construction throughout the last decade).
Mr. Ford's Field Photographic Branch, which produced Academy Award-winning documentaries for the military on the bombing of Pearl Harbor and the Battle of Midway, created a film to be shown at the war crimes tribunals at Nuremberg.
He reminded the cadets the surprise attack by Japan on Pearl Harbor in 1941 sparked dramatic changes in the military and the September 11 attacks have done the same.