These developments, plus the likelihood of incentives from regional governments, will ultimately make Baku-Ceyhan the optimal route for Caspian oil exports.

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"There are times where there are bad folks somewhere on the other side of the world, and you've got to make a call and it's not optimal, " he said.

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There are two things that can be done to make it more of an optimal zone: one is a central treasury operation and the tax redistribution that comes with that.

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