The US government has now revised its long-term forecast for the US economy, partly on the basis of these trends.
In May 2010, an unsung numbers hobbyist named Ed Weiland wrote a long-term forecast of Jeremy Lin for the basketball website Hoops Analyst.
The long-term forecast track from the hurricane center showed Katrina weakening and crossing the Florida peninsula Friday, then moving out over the Gulf of Mexico and sweeping north toward the hurricane-weary northern Gulf Coast.
Mr Ryan's roadmap takes as its starting point the CBO's long-term budget forecast.
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In its long-term fiscal forecast, the Congressional Budget Office figures that in 25 years, the federal government will be spending about 10.5 percent of GDP on Medicare, Medicaid, and the new health insurance subsidies created by the Affordable Care Act.
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Even the consensus sell-side long-term EPS growth forecast, normally seen as a casually-generated and typically optimistic ornament to the overall suite of analyst estimates, calls for EPS to decline at a 5.2% annual rate.
He also reduced his long-term gross margin forecast for the company to 35%, from 40%.
Penn National has an estimated 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 24 and a 15% annualized long-term earnings growth forecast.
Carnival trades at a forward PE multiple4 of 16, with a forecast long-term growth rate of around 16% per year.5 This is an attractive trade off, in my opinion, particularly given the great dynamics of an industry riding the powerful, long-term currents of mass affluence and aging.
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Most analysts have forecast a long-term rise in personal savings in the U.S. as well as depressed consumption and slower growth because of it.
For anyone who has been compelled to give a long-term vision or read a marketing forecast for the next decade, Mr. Taleb's chapter excoriating "The Scandal of Prediction" will ring painfully true.
Production is trending that way, but 8 years is a long time to forecast, and long-term forecasts are fraught with peril.
But in the past quarter of a century the consensus forecast for the long-term annual earnings growth of American companies has never dipped significantly below 10%.
Update 10 January 2013: The second paragraph of this report has been changed to clarify that the Met Office forecast refers to a long-term average.
Audit Scotland said a number of factors would affect prescribing and its associated spending in coming years, and it is difficult to forecast and quantify their long-term impact.
This forecast is intended for making long-term asset allocation decisions as opposed to short-term tactical decision.
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Most importantly, impress upon your strategy team both the unpredictability of the long-term future and the fact that action is frequently the best way to forecast.
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Our forecast for 2006 is 3.2%, which is also the long-term growth trend in the U.S. But this is a declining trend.
Five years from now, he suggests, biochip analysis might be used routinely to choose the right treatment for a particular patient, to forecast how effective that treatment will be, and even to estimate the long-term prognosis.
And, according to the latest CBO forecast, under current policies, the U.S. economy is expected to have a long-term real GDP growth rate of 2.20%.
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