Then we realized that if a team is winning 20-0 in the second quarter a win probability model is going to say they have a 99.9% likelihood of winning and everyone is going to stop watching.
However, this assessment appears at odds with what seismologists have known for at least 20 years that small earthquakes increase the likelihood that a powerful event will happen in the near future, even if the absolute probability of such an event remains low.
In terms of probability (where 1 is a certainty and 0 an impossibility), that translates into a likelihood of 0.000...0006, where there are 138 zeros before the six.