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Sometime this analysis can give one different perspectives on which are the leading and lagging sectors.
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That said, some are leading indicators while others are lagging and amid the current economic environment, investors are examining leading indicators to determine what is coming next.
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There are three different types of indicators: coincident, lagging and leading.
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But surely the Fed knows that employment is a lagging indicator, and using it as a leading indicator for its policies is almost sure to have it on the wrong side of the cycle.
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Perhaps I should just leave it at that and not wonder if it indicates the market now really believes employment is a leading indicator, and housing and consumer confidence, so important last year, are now lagging and unimportant indicators, that employment can recover and economic growth can continue, if the housing sector and autos roll over to the downside again.
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