And finally, the monthly Producer Price Index and Consumer Price Index numbers are due Tuesday and Wednesday, respectively.
Then, those index numbers are averaged to determine your return.
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In other words, the index numbers overstate the strength of hedge fund performance due to stronger results in the early years when hedge funds and the industry itself were both smaller.
They edged off their gains as news about riots in Athens poured in and possible as investors mulled over the index numbers, wondering if they held any real signals for growth in the housing market.
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The official word from the Federal Reserve, delivered to Congress in February, is that "inflation pressures are anticipated to remain well contained, " and a look at the March Consumer Price Index numbers wouldn't give you much ammunition to shoot holes in the Fed's assertion.
Industrial growth appears to have moderated as the April and May Index of Industrial Production numbers showed.
Tuesday brings the Case-Shiller Home Price Index and consumer confidence numbers, followed by the ADP Employment Report and factory orders on Wednesday.
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On Thursday, we will get the monthly report on the Producer Price Index and jobless claims, followed by the Consumer Price Index and industrial production numbers on Friday.
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With the Conference Board index at 97.1, the numbers also look similar to February 1996, when the index stood at 98.0.
While the numbers clearly demonstrate that the Index is going for a second bottom, David Blitzer, chairman of the Index Committee, was weary of using the term double-dip.
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Just last week, Fuld updated his numbers on the Gisele Bundchen Stock Index.
That figure plunged to 10% in 2001 as vast numbers of telecom issues exited the index through defaults.
In any event, there is nothing in the GDP numbers that would put in question the Shift Index analysis.
Typically an innovation index will use solid, reliable and traditional metrics like numbers of patents registered, number of third and fourth level maths and engineering graduates leaving university, and the existence of industry clusters.
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On Wednesday, stocks were boosted by the much better numbers from the ISM on manufacturing, as the index hit its highest level in eight months.
Philadelphia stood out as the weakest district, confirming the disastrous numbers that came out of the most recent Philly Fed manufacturing index.
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However, the U.S. dollar index was given a boost by some positive U.S. retail sales numbers.
There's another reason why it is so hard for top-performing advisers to beat the index over the long term, says Mr. Tint, even when their numbers were powered by genuine ability rather than sheer luck.
These numbers did not help make the dollar more attractive, as the dollar index violated support (line a) on July 21.
Although traders appeared to have been dismayed over the jobs numbers on Friday, they seemed to interpret the ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (an index that provides a look at the state of the services sector) as a relatively upbeat sign.
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While the ISM Manufacturing Index has been expanding for seventeen straight months now, the gain in December plus the impressive numbers from the New Orders and Inventories components made it hard to be overly negative on the outlook for the economy.
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To forecast the indices we used the current Zillow Home Value Index value for May, which we released almost three weeks ago, the April Case-Shiller home indices numbers and the national percentage for foreclosure re-sales in May.
Returns are likely to be overstated given that poor performers will drop out of the index (so-called survivorship bias) and that only funds that are initially successful will agree to report their numbers.
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