In a paper that will be published soon in the Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, he maintains that not only is past economic growth no guarantee of future stockmarket returns, but even future economic growth (could we but know it) is no guarantee of contemporaneous stockmarket returns except in the most transitory way.
Past returns are no guarantee of future returns, but they can sure make one look good.
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As with all investing, however, past outperformance does not guarantee future returns.
We know that past performance does not guarantee future returns.
But past performance is no guarantee of future returns, which is why portfolio construction is part engineering and part art.
Keep in mind that past performance is no guarantee of future returns.
Although past performance is no guarantee of future returns, the Theory is an interesting one worthy of note and has a history dating back to the 1800s and has been accurate in three out of its past four predictions.
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Three layers of fees virtually guarantee that the net returns will be uncompetitive to the pensions.
Please note this is not a guarantee and the actual returns could be higher or lower.
So it would be nice if a solid balance sheet and climbing returns could guarantee him a clear conscience.
Long-time readers are likely well aware that the period beginning November 1 through April 30 historically has been very good for our newsletter portfolios (past performance never a guarantee of future performance) with returns over the last 22 years averaging 22% per annum!
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Favoured commodities such as corn (maize), wheat, soyabeans and cotton will receive a per-acre revenue guarantee of about 90% of the previous five years' returns.
Traditional all-market-cap-weighted index funds guarantee that you will receive your fair share of stock market returns, and virtually assure that you will outperform, over the long term, 90% or more of the other investors in the marketplace.
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