The truth is, no one can really guess the future or ''natural'' price of uranium using traditional forecasting methods anchored in historic trends.

FORBES: Yellowcake Fever

Governments are certainly not immune to the fallacy of extending current trends as a means of forecasting the future, while ignoring the history.

FORBES: Long-Term Forecasts Are Mostly Worthless

Forecasting errors tend to be larger at turning points in the business cycle and when shifts occur in major economic trends.

FORBES: The Economic Forecasts are Wrong, Which is Probably Good News