When political stocks analogous to prediction markets such as Intrade start to move within the presidential field, you can expect to see even less bipartisan consensus on any given issue.
In my field we have scores of models that are extremely good at explanation but which fail at prediction because some tiny parameter has been left out.
Yet you do not have to share his taste for banning chemicals to agree with his prediction that American industry will want stricter standards to create a level playing-field at home.
That run was halted Saturday and he will be hoping his earlier prediction "I think the race pace should be good, " will help lift him up the field from the back.