One problem is that there are sometimes false-start turning-points in the leading indicators which turn out to go nowhere.

BBC: The popcorn route to recovery

Normal, intelligent, rational, logical people feel the need to rebut false premises before bridging to positive message points.

FORBES: "I Am Not A Crook" -Media Training

On every course, thousands do data points are entered, including false fronts on greens and slopes to hazards and all are accurate to within a yard.

FORBES: Sky Caddie GPS

What is the United States to make of the fact that talking points supplied to Foreign Minister Genscher for his November 1988 visit to Washington were patently false?

CENTERFORSECURITYPOLICY: Center For Security Policy