My 7.0 percent total return prediction for U.S. stocks assumes 2.0 percent inflation, 2.5 percent real GDP growth and a 2.7 percent all-on dividend factor, less 0.2 percent in index fund fees.
The returns from the alternative strategies were tested against the traditional index benchmarks before and after adjusting for the Carhart Four-Factor Model.
The U.S. dollar index moving to a four-week high Tuesday is also a bearish underlying factor for the gold and silver markets.
FORBES: A.M. Kitco Metals Roundup: Gold Trades Near Steady after Hitting 4-Week Low Overnight
Higher crude oil prices was likely a factor in higher manufacturing costs last month, as the prices paid index jumped to a two-and-a-half-year high of 53.2 from 45.8.
FORBES: Manufacturing Increased Pace In NY, Materials Drive Up Prices
The dollar index bulls have upside near-term technical momentum and that is a bearish underlying factor for the precious metals markets.
The dollar index bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage, which is a bearish underlying factor for gold and silver.
FORBES: Comex Gold Ends Higher on Follow-Through Bargain-Hunting Buying Interest
The dollar index bulls have strong upside near-term technical momentum and that remains a bearish underlying factor for the precious metals.
The dollar index bulls have upside near-term technical momentum and that is still a bearish underlying factor for the precious metals markets.
FORBES: Comex Gold Lower As U.S. Dollar Index Rallies, Commodity Markets Under Pressure
The dollar index bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage, which has been an underlying bearish factor for the precious metals.
FORBES: Comex Gold Trading Near Steady as Market Pauses, Consolidates Recent High Volatility
The dollar index bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage, which has been a bearish underlying factor for the precious metals.
FORBES: Comex Gold Trades Near Steady, Supported by Safe-Haven Demand
The dollar index bears have downside technical momentum on their side and that is a near-term bullish factor for gold and silver.
FORBES: Comex Gold Trades Near Steady As Market Consolidates
The dollar index bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage, which has been a bearish underlying factor for the precious metals.
FORBES: Comex Gold Ends Higher in Choppy Trading; Safe-Haven Buying Surfaces
The dollar index bulls still have the overall near-term technical advantage, which has been an underlying bearish factor for the precious metals.
FORBES: P.M. Kitco Metals Roundup: Comex Gold Ends Near Steady As Market Consolidates
The dollar index bulls still have the solid overall near-term technical advantage, which is a bearish underlying factor for the precious metals markets.
FORBES: Comex Gold Firmer on Bargain Hunting, Weaker U.S. Dollar Index
The dollar index bulls still have the solid overall near-term technical advantage, which is a major bearish factor for the precious metals markets.
FORBES: Comex Gold Sharply Lower on Stronger U.S. Dollar Index, Weaker Commodity Sector
The dollar index bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage, which is a major bearish underlying factor for the precious metals markets.
However, the dollar index remains in a short-term downtrend on the daily chart, which is an underlying bullish factor for the precious metals.
FORBES: Comex Gold Ends Solidly Higher On Good Follow-Through Strength, Fresh Technical Buying
The dollar index bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage, which has been a major underlying bearish factor for the precious metals recently.
The dollar index bulls still have some upside near-term technical momentum and that is still a bearish underlying factor for the precious metals markets.
FORBES: Comex Gold Higher On Corrective Bounce, Rebound in Commodity Sector
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