Analysts are also concerned that a downgrade could mean Detroit would have to pay tens of millions of dollars to exit interest-rate bets it made with Wall Street banks in 2005 and 2006.
Using the currency's 2007 peaks as a guide, the pound has fallen more sharply against the dollar and euro (around 25-30%) than it did after the exit from the Exchange Rate Mechanism in 1992.
Import prices will be pushed up by a weaker pound, whose 6% fall in the last three months was the biggest since sterling's ignominious exit from the European exchange-rate mechanism in 1992.
Now before people go getting too excited about this, I suspect Cyprus would continue honoring its TARGET2 obligations even after an exit by paying the required low interest rate on euro-denominated liabilities.