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Mr Vaughan-Smith expects banks that run the numbers to find an equity injection will work out cheaper than taking a hit to their broader bond positions.
ECONOMIST: Why monoline insurers are so important
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If a government recapitalisation does prove necessary, the treasury is likely to take one of two routes: a preferred-stock investment that allows the agencies to raise more capital of their own, or nationalisation through a common-equity injection that leaves current owners with nothing, and thus offers the taxpayer a better deal.
ECONOMIST: American finance
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That would have been a 10bn euro direct injection of equity capital into Cyprus's weak banks by the European Stability Mechanism (ESM).
BBC: Cyprus and the eurozone's survival
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Private equity on the continent is experiencing an unprecedented injection of external capital.
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The cash injection helped halve the South Korean company's debt to 1.3 times equity compared to 2.6 at the end of 1997.
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