Until August last year, the EIA had been using a five-year average for export demand.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has issued its must-read report on U.S. Carbon Dioxide Emissions in 2009.
As I noted in my February 24 column, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that for new power-generating facilities entering service in 2016, onshore wind power will be 49% more expensive than conventional coal over the lifetime of the respective facilities, offshore wind will be 90% more expensive than coal, solar thermal will be 155% more expensive than coal, and solar photovoltaic will be 295% more expensive than coal.
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According to an independent, third-party technical review of the EIA authored by consultant Robert E.
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And over the coming two decades, where we can expect even more ICT-driven efficiency gains, the EIA still forecasts a 16% aggregate rise in electric demand.
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So comparing the PGC resource estimate to the EIA resource estimate or to the many private-consultant estimates out there can be confusing, and really only makes sense at the very aggregated level.
The EIA expects 8.5% of the coal-fired fleet to retire by 2016, and 17% by 2020, and those are very conservative estimates.
While exluding NGL from Russian figures makes the numbers add up a lot more sensibly, there is still a year-long stretch where the JODI and EIA figures are very far apart.
Today, the EIA estimates that total U.S. 2012 energy-related CO2 emissions will equal 5, 320 million metric tons.
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Considering the huge natural-gas resource base in North America, the EIA has projected the U.S. to become net exporter of natural gas by 2022, helped by unlocking of the shale natural gas reserves in the country.
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The Energy Information Administration (EIA) puts it at around 37tcm of recoverable reserves, two-thirds of which is shale gas and the rest tight gas and coal-bed methane.
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Carbon emissions hit a 20-year low (in the first quarter 2012 according to EIA) and some industry observers believe that the U.S. could meet the Kyoto agreement standards by 2020 (even though the U.S. did not sign it).
The trend is expected to continue, with natural gas-fired plants accounting for 60 percent of capacity additions between 2011 and 2035, EIA found.
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While gas-fired power plants are popping up like dandelions across America, just one coal-fired generator was brought on line in the first half of 2012, the EIA reports.
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Interestingly, EIA reports U.S. emissions rose more than 15% during the eight years of the Clinton-Gore administration but have declined since.
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