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Retailers also continue to experience a higher average probability of default, based on the Sageworks probability of default model, a predictive statistical model for the credit analysis of small or privately held companies.
FORBES: Private Retailers' Sales On The Move
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Under KMV's model, the typical default probability is 15% in Indonesia and 18% in Thailand.
FORBES: Default-risk bookies
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Ongoing relationships with community banks have also helped Sageworks develop a statistically based model predicting the probability that, within a year, a business will default on a loan.
FORBES: Two signs private companies are stronger