Obviously, the scenario I just laid out is grossly oversimplified and riddled with unsupported conjectures.
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The alternative, though, is to let less informed voices dominate the public discussion with their conjectures.
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My examples are just conjectures, but there is also some serious research on the topic.
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These conjectures are usually attached to claims that traditional methods of allocating to stocks and bonds no longer work.
Expertly costumed historic interpreters mingle with tourists, ready to explain customs, traditions, the conjectures of archaeologists and documentation of historians.
New psychological treatments such as Cognitive Behavioral Therapy also emerged and helped patients by addressing their conscious attitudes rather than conjectures about their unconscious minds.
Beyond the political conjectures of whether Mr Trimble will carry the day lies the bigger question: is he right to embrace this compromise deal at all?
While it is very much true that ID Theory does acknowledge conjectures regarding extraterrestrial intervention, there is no assertion whatsoever of any theistic or supernatural causation is required.
Mr Holmes moves so surely through these worlds that his judgment on his characters, including his careful conjectures about what they might have thought or felt, are completely convincing.
But unfounded, panic-evoking, worst-case conjectures are unwarranted and irresponsible.
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The FCC acknowledges many of the wonders of wireless but then conjectures, at great length, about all the things that might go wrong because of what it perceives as a concentrated market.
These conjectures were neither contradicted nor commented upon.
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