Researchers used a series of computer models to simulate different climate scenarios and their possible effects on hurricanes and storm surges on New York City.
Nancy Rabalais, executive director of the Louisiana Universities Marine Consortium and an expert on dead zones who didn't participate in the study, said its findings are consistent with climate change scenarios she projects for the upper Mississippi River basin, where flooding caused high algae concentrations two years ago.
The study simulated changes in agricultural yields as a result of changing precipitation and temperature patterns, finding that crop yields may increase under the higher temperature and precipitation under many climate-change scenarios in this region.
The doomsday scenarios of climate cataclysm lie in the fat tail.
EPA. They would burden America with a huge economic cost for a benefit that is negligible even if you accept the worst-case scenarios for climate change, which are themselves scientifically flawed.
The purpose of the meeting in Lima tomorrow is NOT whether to discuss actually doing any of these things, but rather whether to support research on the feasibility of doing so in the worst-case scenarios of climate change.
Scenarios for future climate change are almost always developed using powerful three-dimensional models of the earth and its atmosphere.
"The truth is, the more we observe about the climate system, the more frightening the scenarios that scientists are starting to develop, " Pearce says.
If spending on defences remains limited, and the scenarios for sea-level rise through climate change prove correct, conservation of the marshes may acquire more urgency.
Understanding the science behind climate change and mitigating its effects are critical for avoiding unmanageable scenarios in the future.
WHITEHOUSE: Adaptation Summit to Address Impacts of Climate Change, May 25-27 | The White House
But the fact that such scenarios cannot be discarded is sufficient to justify strengthening current climate change policies.
FORBES: A New Report on Climate Change: The World Bank Tries to Wake Us Up
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