Their best year was 2001, when the Dance Card correctly predicted 33 of the 34 at-large bids, missing only Missouri (the Dance Card thought Richmond should have received a bid).

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For the most part, though, Paek's busy dance card will be limited to relatively short sit-downs.

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Since Coleman and Lynch started making predictions in 2000, the Dance Card has accurately predicted all but six of the at-large teams, getting 94% correct.

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The "Dance Card" rankings, as Coleman and Lynch call their system, make a couple of assumptions: All teams ranked 25 or better in the RPI will make the tournament, and no team ranked below 80 will receive an at-large bid.

FORBES: Calculating March Madness