But his numbers have taken a nosedive and are unlikely to be reversed by Election Day.
Nor is Mr. Obama likely to be much more popular by Election Day 2014.
Bill Clinton may still have enough of the old political magic left to sway some of these voters by Election Day.
By election day, voters may well be asking themselves which candidate, Mr Bush or Mr Gore, will do less harm to the economy.
Or it could be over by election day (if not sooner).
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In early September it was my prediction that the Dow Industrial Average would trade up towards my annual risky level at 11, 235 by Election Day.
If Christie decides to hold the Senate contest in 2014 with a hand-picked replacement serving 18 months by Election Day, it could invite legal action from New Jersey Democrats.
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But Mr Barak hopes that by election day the peace process will look much more promising, and that this will bring him victory despite the present odds.
Iowa election laws allow out-of-state students attending college there to vote, and 17-year-olds can vote in the caucuses as long as they are 18 years old by election day.
It was mid-September when I predicted that the Dow Industrial Average would rally to my annual risky level at 11, 235 by Election Day in anticipation of a Republican House.
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To be registered to vote in the by-election people must be 16 or over by election day, resident at the address stated on the registration form and resident in the Isle of Man for at least one year.
Both soon came down to earth, so that their approval ratings were slightly below 50% by re-election day.
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Early voting and absentee ballots will ensure that, by the time election day comes around, a significant amount of votes will already be in.
You can vote in person, you can go to your county board of elections, or you can vote by mail up until Election Day.
The first indication of the vote comes from the exit polls conducted by VNS. On Election Day, VNS interviewers stand outside of hundreds of sample precincts across the country.
This election year a handful of states are trying to eliminate long rush hour lines on Election Day by allowing a week or more of early voting, at convenient locations such as malls and grocery stores.
The council's president, Tibisay Lucena, told AFP news agency that the expanded audit was not a recount but would cover all ballot boxes not audited on election day by reviewing a sample two-thirds of them over the next month.
It's not yet clear exactly when Mr Miliband will depart - although the smart money assumes he will time his leaving to allow a by-election on local election day.
While the proposition lost on election day (by only 400, 000 votes), the initiative staged an impressive social media campaign, trending 4 times on Twitter in the U.S. and receiving more than 2 million click-throughs on Facebook from Californians aged 18 and over.
Her day in Romsey, won in a sensational by-election victory by Lib Dem Sandra Gidley, started with the fallout from a Daily Telegraph article still dominating the day's agenda.
Arkansas also banned adoption by same-sex couples on Election Day last week.
Sure enough, using standard deviation of the returns, the day after Election Day is significantly more volatile than a normal day by about 80% (1.99% vs. 1.14%).
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Kim Howells, who entered the Commons at a 1989 by-election - on the same day as William Hague - initially seemed like an unlikely figure to be prominent in a Blair government.
Kerry caught up to Bush in the polls before Election Day and led by a single point, 48 percent to 47 percent, in a similar poll conducted October 28 through October 31.
You can see their day-by-day results in the 2008 election that they were almost exactly mirroring the final outcome.
The visit comes a week from polling day in the by-election triggered by Liberal Democrat MP Chris Huhne's resignation following his guilty plea to perverting the course of justice.
As question time drew to a close, Commons Speaker John Bercow urged MPs to press local authorities in their constituencies to count votes on the day of the forthcoming General Election - rather than the following day, as proposed by some returning officers.
With luck, this message will be written clearly by the electorate's invisible hand on Election Day.
It is expected that the parliamentary by-election will be held on the same day, with an official announcement likely soon from the Commons.
BBC: NEWS | UK | Wales | South East Wales | MP's widow to fight assembly seat
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