Still, Mr Camerer is confident that neuroeconomics will deliver its first big breakthroughs within five years.
Most of the big breakthroughs in math, physics and computer technology are made by the obnoxiously young.
But big breakthroughs often depend on the naive daring of outsiders.
Finding such an instrument required three big breakthroughs.
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Since it takes trade negotiators around a year to wrap up a deal once the big political breakthroughs are made, Hong Kong is widely viewed as a crucial deadline.
It created a widely admired venture-capital arm, but never made big enough bets to create breakthroughs, says Ms Kanter.
The first group focuses on breakthroughs, getting the big ideas right.
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So in healthcare, ultimately big data can improve clinical outcomes and breakthroughs while driving down costs.
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But medical breakthroughs don't always correlate with big sales.
None of this would be a problem if the drug industry had a wealth of new breakthroughs, but even with new potential big sellers like Pfizer's Lyrica, for neuropathic pain, or Merck's Gardasil, a vaccine for a virus that can lead to cervical cancer, it's not clear that new drugs can make up for the ones that will be lost.
But it does suggest that, if we want to see a resurgence in big thinking and grand invention, if we want to promote breakthroughs that will improve not only our own lives but those of our grandchildren, we need to enlarge our aspirations.
But he figures if he can dramatically increase collaboration among scientists and speed up scientific breakthroughs as a result, that would be worth some kind of big prize.
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With the massive user base they have and the big data they are able to collect, there is indeed a huge potential for breakthroughs.
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But Great Britain, where so many historic breakthroughs for liberty occurred, adopted forced labor during the late 1940s, and it has had a big welfare state ever since, as does France, Italy and the rest of Europe.
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