Lochte beat Phelps in the 400-meter medley on Saturday with Phelps finishing a surprising fourth place, the first time Lochte had beaten him in an Olympic race.

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For the purposes of his projection model, Johnson doesn't care whether China's Liu Xiang can beat Jason Richardson of the U.S. in the 110-meter hurdles, or if American gymnast Jordyn Wieber can beat back China's army of tiny tumblers.

WSJ: The U.S. Should Clobber the World in London