However, with Massey exploring new areas and looking for new permits, there could be upside to our base forecast.
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If productivity in health continues to lag the rest of the economy, and health spending continues to rise to make up this gap, our net debt could be twice as high by 2060 as the OBR's base forecast.
For example, if Sprint is able to increase its prepaid share of the U.S. wireless market past 6% by the end of our forecast period, as opposed to our base forecast of roughly 5%, there could be 15% upside to our price estimate.
To get an idea of this potential reduction in value, an increase of just 5% to our base manufacturing cost forecast can reduce our SunPower stock price estimate by almost 15%.
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If PayPal is able to sustain this kind of growth in the future, it could increase its registered user base to 292 million instead of the 215 million that we forecast by 2016.
We project that Salesforce.com will increase its market share in the cloud computing space over our forecast period, from a relatively low current market share base.
FORBES: Salesforce.com Needs Greater Share Of Cloud To Justify $140 Price Tag
If we carry this hypothetical 30% decline forward, the annual difference from our base case estimate would be about 300 MW by the end of our forecast period.
Our base estimates project that the production cost of solar cells for SunPower will steadily decline through our forecast period.
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Their forecast is 3.5% growth in 2013 for the Brazilian economy, given the low base of comparison, more benign international environment and the lagged effects of monetary and fiscal stimuli on investment growth.
Although this figure was lower than the 54 that had been forecast one has to bear in mind that a level greater than 50 signals growth or an expanding base of economic activity.
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