But I prefer technical analysis as a better guide to the direction of gold than the always conflicting opinions regarding surrounding conditions.

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If market-share analysis can be a poor guide to the likely effect of mergers on prices, what might be put in its place?

ECONOMIST: Economics focus

Driven is actually a guide to business planning, based on long-term analysis of company cash flow histories.

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As the psychologist Philip Tetlock demonstrated in his magisterial analysis of 20-years of expert prediction, a dart-throwing chimpanzee was a better guide to the future.

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