You can still end up being wrong, but if you stack the deck in your favor, the odds of being wrong will be smaller than if you based your decision on asingleindicator.
Although it would definitely be useful to know your car's fuel mileage (a decline in miles per gallon is a good indicator of potential problems), I'm not dedicated enough to enter every single gasoline purchase.
This is one advantage over the Conference Board's leading economic indicator, which conceals useful information by combining longer- and shorter-term indicators in asingle measure.