"I'm not ready to declare a double-dip just yet, " Matas says.

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"Take away the gains in the memory business, and what you would have had is a 1% percent decline for the industry overall, " Matas says.

FORBES: Where's The Chip Recovery?

"The financial crisis ends up putting a tighter grip on the supply of money, " says Brian Matas, vice president of market research at IC Insights.

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Matas is now expecting sales growth for the second quarter to grow by a meager 4% over the first quarter.

FORBES: Where's The Chip Recovery?

Matas says U.S. Department of Commerce figures for sales of electronic systems, a wider category that includes consumer electronics, computers and other electronic products, is slumping by about 4% for 2002.

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