Whereas if we were really close to expiration, thereisa greater chance of all of the premium being lost on the option that is opposite of the stock price movement as the rate of time decay will increase exponentially.
Why do investors think thereisa negligible chance of the UK reneging on its debts, while thereisa meaningful risk that they won't get all their money back from Spain and Italy?
"We have no way of knowing the duration or extent of this rally, but given all of the previous examples and the fact that all of the key indexes held above their October lows, we feel thereisa good chance it could last several weeks, " writes Sullivan in a Thursday night hotline.