我一直坚持认为:对最近相关季度所作的最新最详尽估算,就预测的准确性来说,远比复杂的模型有用。
I have always argued that an up-to-date set of the most detailed estimates for the latest available quarter is far more useful for forecasting accuracy than a more sophisticated model structure.
我估算的时间非常准确,在21:30分时就到了楼梯口,快到家门时,楼道的灯就亮了,抬头一看,孩子正穿着睡衣从门缝里伸出了小脑袋。
I told her I would get home about 21:40. When I was on the stairs, it was 21:30, the light was on shine suddenly, my daughter opened the door and emerged her head with pajamas.
我估算的时间非常准确,在21:30分时就到了楼梯口,快到家门时,楼道的灯就亮了,抬头一看,孩子正穿着睡衣从门缝里伸出了小脑袋。
I told her I would get home about 21:40. When I was on the stairs, it was 21:30, the light was on shine suddenly, my daughter opened the door and emerged her head with pajamas.
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