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水库实施的防洪预报调度方式是解决我国防洪和兴利之间矛盾的一条有效途径，其对水库上下游的防洪风险率的大小是决定其能否实施的关键。
The present article aims to introduce the authors research on the method of flood control forecast operation a reservoir can actualize in a flood season.
水力学模型是平原区洪水演进、流域防洪调度、兴利除害、技术治水、科学管水合理利用的重要工具。
Hydrodynamic model is important tools of river flood routing and flood control, promote the beneficial and abolish the harmful, technically water control and scientific water manage.
水库夏汛时间长，洪量大，是水库确保防洪安全和实现兴利效益的关键时期。
The summer flood reason is the key period for reservoir controlling flood and achieving benefit because this stage is longer and the volume of flood is larger.
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