...滚动预测；残差修正 [gap=1078]applied mathematics and statistics; traffic flow prediction; grey system theory; rolling forecast; residual correction ...
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In the thesis, based on time sequence statistical data, applying ANN multi-step prediction and rolling prediction, tourist income and tourist quantities forecasting model is established.
论文中，主要是基于旅游需求的时间序列统计数据，应用人工神经网络多步预测和滚动预测方法，建立旅游收入神经网络预测模型和旅游人数神经网络预测模型。
参考来源 - 基于人工神经网络的旅游需求预测理论与实证研究The results of experiments about different models are contrasted and analyzed. It points out that roll forecast is better than regression forecast in revenue prognostic of months.
并对各预测模型进行了实验结果的对比分析,指出滚动预测方法较回归预测方法能更好地进行税收收入分月预测,从而更好地指导税收计划的完成,为科学地建立税收计划进行了有效地探索,并为税收计划工作提供了重要的科学依据。
参考来源 - 税收收入预测模型的研究与实现·2,447,543篇论文数据，部分数据来源于NoteExpress
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