出生队列分析则显示1963年以后出生队列发病率的下降趋势。
Birth cohort analysis showed notable reducing changes for those born after the year 1963.
目的为了较为系统地介绍贝叶斯图解模型,并用于肝癌发病资料分析和发病率预测。方法利用贝叶斯图解模型和年龄队列模型对肝癌发病的年龄、出生队列效应的参数进行估计。
Objective This article introduces Bayesian graphical modelling and analyze incidence data of primary live cancer in Qidong county, and predict incidence rate of Primary live cancer next period.
结果:分析表明栖霞县宫颈癌死亡率下降与时期和出生队列因素有关。
The data of mortality of cervical cancer in Qixia County as an example to analysis. Result: the decline trend of cervical cancer mortality related to the period and cohort factors.
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