如果对经济的净影响不像小企业联合会估计的那么大，那官方的计算会不会靠谱一点呢？
If the net effect on economic activity is unlikely to be as large as bodies like the FSB estimate, are official calculations any closer to the truth?
渣打银行的经济学家斯蒂芬·格林预计，至今年年末，中国净出口增值将降至零点，明年将呈负值。
Stephen Green, an economist at Standard Chartered, expects China's real export growth to fall to zero by the end of this year and to turn negative next year.
净出口对GDP增长的贡献回落1.6个百分点，主要因为进口大幅增加，而出口平均没有变化。
The contribution of net exports to GDP growth fell by 1.6 percentage points, mainly because imports increased sharply whereas exports were on average unchanged.
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