...黎巴嫩的塔勒波曾是华尔街期权交易员,市场经验丰富,目前在麻省大学执教鞭,负责「不确定因素科学(Sciences of Uncertainty)的讲授。阁下未必读过塔勒波的作品,但应该听过由其理论启发的「名句。
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现在我们能将这些不确定因素范围缩小到能开展有趣科学实验的程度。
Now we can shrink those uncertainties to the point where we can do interesting science.
如果,在没有“科学证据”的情况下,我们就不能令人信服地证明这些因素使人们幸福,那么我们在道德上就陷于不确定状态。
If we cannot make convincing cases for them without "scientific proof" that they make people happy, we are morally adrift.
盈亏平衡分析可以对项目的风险情况及项目对各个因素不确定性的承受能力进行科学地判断,为投资决策提供依据。
Break - even analysis can provide a scientific judgment according to the risk condition of project and endurance capability of uncertain factors, and gives the evidence for the investment decision.
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