We've been reporting from the battleground survey the Republican turnout model, but frankly, our internal work and our internal model would have the Democratic vote - would have the margin more like five, six points, seven points because we believe more new voters, more people of color turning out to vote.
Low turnout is not necessarily proof of alienation: a survey for the League of Women Voters found that non-voters are no more mistrustful of government than voters are.