In the forecasting business, "known unknowns" are called uncertainties. Since you don't know which way things will go, you need to imagine more than one scenario flowing from that unknown. At the pivot of every scenario lies a driving uncertainty. If the uncertainty leans one way, the future plays out drastically different than if it leans the other ways.
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In the forecasting business, "known unknowns" are called uncertainties.
在预测行业里面,“已知的未知数”被称作不确定性。
The segments used for reporting and forecasting dictated by ownership, management company, and/or brand may not be the most appropriate in understanding where your business comes from.
为给酒店所有者、管理公司或者品牌提供报告和预测所用的市场细分方法也许对于理解你的生意来自哪里是不合适的。
This is just what cannot be done in classical statistics. The application of Bayesian estimation to decision making will be more profitable, if business forecasting is available.
贝叶斯估计值在决策方面的应用,需要有经济预测资料,这样才使决策选定的方案在实践中能够取得最大的经济效益。
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