If any of this sounds familiar, consider this: When you're convincing yourself that you're right, what you're saying to yourself is, “I know who's in this market and who's about to come into this market. I know what they believe about what is high or what is low. Furthermore, I know each individual's capacity to act on those beliefs (the degree of clarity or relative lack of inner conflict), and with this knowledge, I am able to determine how the actions of each of these individuals will affect price movement in its collective form a second, a minute, an hour, a day, or a week from now.” Looking at the process of convincing yourself that you're right from this perspective, it seems a bit absurd, doesn't it?

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