The Black Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, 2007.

《黑天鹅》，纳西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布(The Black Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb)，2007年。

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb: If risk doesn't cost you a lot, take all the risk you can.

塔勒布：如果风险不会花你多少钱，就承担你能承担的风险。

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb: I don’t like scenario planning, because people don’t think out of the box.

塔勒布：我不喜欢情况规划，因为人们没办法跳出去思考。

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb is an applied statistician and derivatives trader-turned-philosopher, and author of The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable.

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In 2007 Nassim Nicholas Taleb created a widely-spread meme and best-selling book on Black Swans, highly unexpected events that carry major scale and impact.

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From an investor's perspective, the idea of planning for low-probability, high-consequence events is well treated in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's book The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable.

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