The theory of linear regression and the theory of moving average are applied to analyse single data in time series, the model of a linear moving self regression forecast are given out.
应用线性回归分析和移动平均理论,对按时间次序排列的单一数据序列,给出了一种线性移动自回归预测模型,并对原始数据受不确定因素影响而产生的随机振荡,给出了合理的控制区间和运行通道。
Simulation results showed that the ANN model gave better predictions than the regressive model. The average relative error of ANN was 14.9% and that of linear regression was 25.8%.
模拟的结果显示ANN模型比线性回归模型有更好的预测能力,预测的平均相对误差:ANN模型为14.9%,线性回归模型为25.8%。
This paper offers an assumed model called system weighted Average Tranafer Function of a linear vibration system to identify the complex modal parameters by using multi-point measured frequency data.
本文提出用多点频响函数来识别系统的复模态参数,建立了系统加权平均传递函数的假设模型。
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