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This paper analyzed the historic data of CREIS, measure the loss probability of different term, different loan-to-value ration, different house type according to the past Chinese house price trend.
本文通过分析中房上海住宅价格指数的历史数据,结合市场的特征,衡量了反抵押贷款目前情况下从事反抵押贷款,不同期限、不同贷款价值比例、不同住房类型的损失概率。
According to the historical price data of Shenzhen Development Bank, the paper makes use of Markov model to forecast the short-term price trend and analyses the forecast result.
根据深圳市上市公司深圳发展银行的股票历史收盘价格数据,运用马尔科夫预测法对其短期价格走势进行预测,并对预测结果作了分析。
According to the mean reversion theory, in the long term, the yield rate of stock price appears to follow the rule of mean reversion and negative autocorrelation.
均值回归理论认为,从长期来看,股票收益率呈均值回归,即长期收益率呈负自相关。
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