而且受气温上升和极端天气事件的影响，许多东亚国家的粮食产量预计将会出现下降，使更多的人面临风险。

And with crop yields in many East Asian countries projected to decline, due partly to rising temperatures and partly to extreme weather events, even more people are at risk.

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物理风险：气候变化将带来两个平均的状况，以及频率和极端天气事件的规模调整。

Physical Risk: Climate change will bring adjustments in both average conditions and in the frequency and magnitude of extreme weather events.

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建立在极端事件风险的理论基础上，提出了由原始分布和尾分布组成的组合分布模型。

Based on the theory of extreme event risk, a combination distribution model composed of the original distribution and tail distribution was put forward.

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