本文以江宁为实验区，用蒙特卡罗方法对所提取的DEM进行不确定性模拟。
This paper makes use of Monte Carlo method to simulate the uncertainty of extracted DEM using Jiangning as an experimental area.
云反馈是影响气候变化的重要因子，它导致气候模拟的不确定性。
The cloud feedback is an important factor, which brings out uncertainty of simulation in the climatic model.
模型中包含产品价格、市场需求、自制生产成本和外包生产成本等四种不确定性源，并通过蒙特卡罗模拟得到生产外包的期权价值。
We analyzed the options value by Monte Carlo simulation. Product price, market demand, self-manufacturing cost and outsourcing cost are considered as the sources of uncertainty in the simulation.
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