在年产油量预测时，要根据所处的开发阶段选择合适的方法，同时应与可采储量预测结果有机结合，以提高预测的可靠程度。
When predicting oil production for one calendar year, the method should be picked according to the corresponding development age and combined with reserve prediction to improve the precision.
产油量每年以减少10%以上，探明储量只有现今年产量的13%。
Oil production is falling by up to 10% a year, and proven reserves are now equal to just 13 years of current output.
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