decision making under risk 风险性决策 ; 风险型决策 ; 统计型决策 ; 随机型决策
By setting up the model of decision-making under risk for purchasing logistics, we will decide the optimal combination plan by using the maximum expectation value calculating from instance.
通过建立 采购 物流风险决策模型,并列举实例进行量化分析,得到 采购的损益期望值,通过选取最大期望值确定最优的 采购方案。
参考来源 - 用益损矩阵法对采购物流进行风险决策的优化研究—《物流科技》—2008年第4期—龙源期刊网·2,447,543篇论文数据,部分数据来源于NoteExpress
This paper introduces expected value principle, expected utility principle and prospect theory in decision making under risk.
本文介绍了风险型决策中的期望值原则,期望效用原则和前景理论。
Prospect theory is a very successful descriptive model about decision making under risk during recent several decades, it challenges the expected utility theory to fight, and even can substitute it.
前景理论是近几十年来一个优秀的关于风险下决策的描述性模型,它的出现是对预期效用理论的一个挑战,甚至可以说是对预期效用理论的一个替代。
The prospect theory of behavioral economics argues that people would lead to the anchoring effects during the process of judgment and decision making under risk and uncertainty.
行为经济学中的前景理论认为,人们在不确定性状态下进行风险判断和决策时,容易产生锚定效应。
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