"The combination of demographics and the issue narrative in Orlando could be the difference between 29 electoral votes or not, " said Steve Schale, who managed Obama's winning 2008 campaign in Florida.
In April, Schale, who maintains a blog devoted to Sunshine State political math that's closely followed by operatives in both parties, began combing through Census data and voter registration numbers in an effort to gauge whether Obama's Orlando blowout in 2008 was an aberration or the new normal in Florida campaigns.