This paper aims at discussing the value range of combination forecasting error square sum with matrix theory.
应用矩阵理论,对组合预测误差平方和的取值范围进行了研究。
The results indicate that the relative monitoring error is about 10%, and the relative risk forecasting error is about 20%.
从近年在河北省冬麦区土壤水分的监测预测结果来看,监测相对误差在10%左右,风险预测相对误差在20%左右。
Mr. Greenspan's confidence in the resilience of home prices -- shared by most in the industry at the time -- became a critical forecasting error.
格林斯潘对房价弹性的信心成了关键的预判错误,不过当时业内大多数人士都这么认为。
It could reduce the forecasting error, improve the forecasting accuracy as it has considered the weights of several methods. It is a spreadable forecasting method.
由于它考虑了几种方法所获结果的权重,因此可减小预测误差,提高预测的准确性,是一种值得推广的预测方法。
The ARMA model was used to describe the prior distribution of observed discharge and the ar model was adopted to simulate the likelihood function of forecasting error.
该模型采用ARMA模型描述实测流量的先验分布,采用AR模型模拟预报残差的似然函数,并假定先验分布和似然函数均服从正态分布。
From the grey model of the gross value of industrial output of Anshan over the years, We can forecast the gross value of industrial output of 1990, the forecasting error is 10. 99%.
通过建立鞍山市历年工业总产值全数据的灰色模型,较准确地预测出鞍山市1990年的工业总产值,其预测误差为10.99%。
In first the linear regression model resulted from least square method is presented and its disadvantage is analyse, great forecasting error exists when extreme abnormal case exists.
本文先介绍了用最小二乘法进行线性回归预测的方法,并分析了其不足,即当存在着极端的异常情况时,往往存在着较大的预测误差。
It can reduce the forecasting error, improve the forecasting accuracy as it has considered the weights obtained by several methods. Therefore, this forecasting method is worth spreading.
由于它考虑了几种方法所获得结果的权重,因此可减小预测误差,提高预测的准确性,是一种值得推广的预测方法。
The forecasting results of a city in east China showed that, the MSE forecasting error of 96 points daily load is only about 1.78%. The method can satisfy the request of real power system well.
通过对华东某地市电网日负荷96点曲线的预测结果显示,该方法效果较好,日预测均方根误差在1.78%以内,能较好地满足实际电力系统的负荷预测要求。
The variation geometric constraint net is applied into fixture error forecasting.
将变动几何约束网络应用于夹具误差预测。
The features of coke oven flue temperature are analyzed, and a highly accurate soft-sensing model based on error forecasting is established to measure the coke oven flue temperature on-line.
针对焦炉火道温度在线检测的问题,在分析焦炉火道温度特性的基础上,建立了一种基于误差预测的高精度焦炉火道温度软测量模型。
This paper established the yield and conflux forecasting scheme of reservoir flood based on analyzing error generation characteristics of Zhanghe reservoir flood.
在分析漳河水库入库洪水误差特点的基础上,建立了入库洪水产汇流预报方案。
A new gray theory self-correcting model is applied to the error correct of Short-term Load Forecasting Technique.
本文把一种新的灰色理论自修正模型应用到负荷预测的误差校正中。
A new method of realtime correction with error distribution in time series is given to increase the correctness of flood forecasting.
本文提出一种新的误差时序分配实时校正法,可提高洪水预报方案的精度。
A new forecasting model the Equal Dimension Grey Data Dynamic forecasting model Corrected by Remnant Error was proposed based on the Grey System Theory.
根据灰色系统理论,提出一种残差修正的等维灰数据动态预测模型。
At last the result shows that the relative error is rather small and the forecasting precision is satisfied.
结果表明,相对误差较小,预测精度达到了要求。
By changing the boundary conditions of the grey forecasting model of the residual Error cent rank processing, Make the original Synergetic prediction model precision and prediction accuracy is higher.
通过改变边界条件的灰色预测模型对残差进行了分阶处理,使原有协同预测模型的精度和预测准确性更高。
With a global spectral model (T63L9), a error correction method for medium range weather forecasting has been studied using initial fields of four time periods in 1994.
本文利用一个全球谱模式(T63L9)和1994年4个时段个例的全球客观分析资料探讨了中期数值天气预报的误差订正方法。
On-line modeling, forecasting and compensating way for machining error in boring are introduced.
文章介绍了镗削加工误差的在线建模和预报补偿控制方法。
Some forecasting procedures sum the absolute values of the errors and may report this sum, or divide it by the number of forecast attempts to produce the average forecast error.
一些预测程序总计错误的绝对值而且可能报告这总数,或藉着预测尝试的数字分开它生产平均的预测错误。
The relative error is only 5% between the forecasting result of Lab model and the result of collapsing test, which also proved that it is a feasible.
实验室模型井架预测结果与试验值相差仅为5%,从而验证这一做法的可行性。
In addition, the residual error model is built based on the forecasting results in 2000 and 2001 at Haikou, China for different requirements of various users.
此外,由于不同用户对预报精度的需求不同,本文以海口站2000、2001年的预报结果为例构建了残差模型。
The number of product trouble satisfies the properties like that. We improve traditional GM(1,1) model by supplying residual error and applying the improved model for forecasting of product trouble.
采用补充残差和加权平均的方法改进了传统的GM(1,1)模型,并将改进后的模型应用于产品故障数的预测。
When the objective matters are studied by models, the forecasting results obtained by perfect fitting will not necessarily be very good. In this paper, the causes of error produced are analyzed.
借助于模型研究客观事物时,好的拟合得到的预测不一定很好,本文分析了产生误差的原因。
An unequal time interval forecasting model of GM (1, 1) is established according to the grey theory in the present paper, which can be modified using the residual error GM (1, 1) model.
运用灰色理论建立了软基沉降的不等时距预测GM(1, 1)模型,并可用残差的GM(1, 1)模型对其进行修正。
The forecasting results show it have many advantage, such as lower error and higher fitting, and it can be used to GDP forecast.
预测结果表明,利用最小二乘支持向量机进行预测具有误差小、拟合程度高等优点,可适用于GDP的预测。
New dominant forecasting method and redundant measure are defined for combination forecasting method with generalized weight arithmetic average, based on error of power of p.
从P次幂误差的概念出发,提出了广义加权算术平均组合预测法新的预测方法优超和冗余度的定义。
Then we investigate the effectiveness of the solution. Finally, we reveal that the method is reasonable and effective which can effectively reduce the error of interval forecasting by a concrete case.
最后,通过一个实例表明本文所提方法能够有效降低区间预测的误差,是一种合理和有效的区间组合预测方法。
Comparing to the simple forecasting model, its error is the minimum.
与简单预测模型对比,误差最小。
Comparing to the simple forecasting model, its error is the minimum.
与简单预测模型对比,误差最小。
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